


Stock Market Plummets Amid Increased Recession Fears from Trump's Tariff Hikes
President Trump's tariff hikes worsen economic outlook, raising recession chances to 60% according to JPMorgan, as stock markets face significant declines.
Overview
President Trump's recent implementation of large tariff hikes has caused a significant stock market downturn, heightening recession worries among economists and Wall Street. The tariffs, set to impose a 10% duty on nearly all countries and additional taxes on 60 nations, have led Goldman Sachs to raise its recession probability to 45% from 35%, while JPMorgan projects a 60% chance. Economists express concerns these tariffs will disrupt global supply chains, lead to inflation peaks of 4.4%, and dampen consumer confidence. Despite extensive job gains thus far, surveys indicate growing unease about the economic climate.
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Analysis
- Trump's recent tariffs have raised concerns about a recession, with economists at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan increasing forecasts for recession probability to as high as 60%.
- The tariffs could result in inflation, increased prices for consumers, and disruptions in global supply chains, potentially slowing down economic growth.
- While current job data remains strong, there is growing anxiety among investors and consumers about longer-term economic impacts, and the Federal Reserve remains cautious about interest rate adjustments.
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