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U.S.-China Tariff Suspension Boosts Stock Market Amid Slowing Inflation

The U.S. stock market rallies as inflation slows and a 90-day tariff suspension brings optimism despite ongoing economic uncertainties.

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Overview

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The U.S. and China have agreed to a 90-day suspension of tariffs, reducing U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. This has led to a rise in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.7% and erasing earlier losses for the year. Meanwhile, inflation slowed to 2.3% in April, giving the Federal Reserve potential leeway to cut interest rates. However, ongoing concerns remain over the long-term impact of President Trump’s tariffs, with legal challenges mounting and farmers expressing cautious optimism over market stability. Analysts warn inflation could rise again due to tariff pressures.

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Analysis

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  • The U.S. and China have entered a 90-day truce, reducing tariffs temporarily, but experts warn that the underlying trade issues may persist longer than the agreement itself.
  • Recent stock market gains reflect investor optimism regarding the temporary easing of trade tensions, though lasting impacts of the tariffs remain a concern for businesses and consumers alike.
  • At least six lawsuits challenge the legality of Trump's tariffs, arguing they represent an expansion of executive power that could undermine trade fairness if left unchecked.

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FAQ

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The US will retain all duties imposed on China prior to April 2, 2025, including Section 301 tariffs, Section 232 tariffs, tariffs imposed in response to the fentanyl national emergency, and Most Favored Nation tariffs. A 10% tariff will also remain during the pause.

Key sectors excluded from the tariff pause include steel, aluminum, and fentanyl-related chemicals, as well as a 25% tariff on imported vehicles and car parts.

The tariff suspension has led to a rally in global markets, indicating a positive short-term impact on investor sentiment and economic confidence.

History

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