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Global Markets React to Improved Consumer Confidence Amid Tariff Delays

U.S. futures rise as consumer confidence rebounds, following President Trump's delay of tariffs on EU goods until July 9.

Overview

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Global stock markets showed mixed results as U.S. futures surged after President Trump announced a delay on imposing a 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9. This decision coincided with a significant rebound in consumer confidence, which rose 12.3 points in May, ending five months of decline. The Conference Board reported that this increase was broad-based across demographics, driven by optimism from recent trade agreements, including a U.S.-China deal that reduced tariffs. However, analysts remain cautious about the sustainability of this rally amid ongoing trade policy volatility and the potential for inflationary pressures.

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Analysis

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  • The articles present a cautiously optimistic view of the economy, noting a rebound in consumer confidence after declines.
  • Concerns about tariffs and inflation remain, but job growth and consumer spending show signs of improvement.
  • Tariff rollbacks by President Trump are credited with boosting consumer sentiment across various demographics.

Articles (12)

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Center (4)

"…Consumer confidence improved more than expected in May, ending a monthslong stretch of worsening consumer attitudes as President Donald Trump’s tariffs set off company warnings about price increases even after the president eased his policy."

Consumer confidence brightens as Trump rolls back tariffs
ABC NewsABC News·1M·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Stocks were poised for large gains early Tuesday after President Donald Trump said he was resetting a deadline for imposing tariffs on the European Union."

Stocks set to surge after Trump resets E.U. tariff deadline
NBC NewsNBC News·1M·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

FAQ

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The rebound in U.S. consumer confidence in May 2025 was driven by optimism following recent trade agreements, including a U.S.-China deal that reduced tariffs, as well as the delay of tariffs on EU goods. This optimism was broad-based across all age, income, and political groups, with consumers feeling more positive about business conditions, job availability, and future income prospects.

The delay of a 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9 by President Trump led to a surge in U.S. futures and contributed to an improvement in consumer confidence. This decision helped ease some trade tensions, which bolstered consumer optimism and reflected positively on global stock markets, although markets showed mixed results overall.

The Expectations Index, which measures consumers' short-term outlook on income, business, and labor market conditions, increased sharply in May to 72.8 from 55.4, indicating growing optimism. The Present Situation Index, reflecting consumers' views of current business and labor conditions, also improved to 135.9 from 131.1. These indices suggest that while consumers are more optimistic about the near future, there is still some caution about present economic conditions.

Analysts remain cautious about the sustainability of the consumer confidence rally due to ongoing trade policy volatility and the potential for inflationary pressures, which could undermine economic stability despite recent positive developments in trade negotiations and tariff delays.

History

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    4 articles