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Cuomo's Lead Narrows in NYC Mayoral Race Amid Rising Support for Mamdani

Recent polls show Andrew Cuomo's lead in the NYC mayoral primary shrinking as Zohran Mamdani gains support, indicating a competitive election ahead.

Overview

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  • Andrew Cuomo is currently the top choice for 38% of likely Democratic voters in New York City, according to recent polling data.
  • The use of ranked-choice voting may lead to a progressive mayor in NYC, as indicated by the latest election polls.
  • Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old democratic socialist, has seen his support rise from 18% to 27%, positioning him as a strong contender.
  • New York City Comptroller Brad Lander is polling at 7%, placing him third in the primary race behind Cuomo and Mamdani.
  • Cuomo's lead has decreased to 10 points over Mamdani, following a recent poll conducted before the final debate and Lander's arrest by DHS agents.

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Ranked-choice voting allows voters to rank multiple candidates by preference. If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, the lowest-ranking candidates are eliminated in subsequent rounds, and their votes are redistributed until a winner is determined. In the current NYC mayoral race, Marist polling shows Andrew Cuomo would beat Zohran Mamdani in the seventh round of this process.

Andrew Cuomo emphasizes his executive experience and crisis management, presenting himself as a proven leader ready to stand up to national political figures like former President Trump. Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist, promotes a progressive platform including rent freezes, no-fare buses, and a $30 minimum wage by 2030.

Zohran Mamdani’s support has surged due to his charismatic campaign, populist policies, and increasing national endorsements from progressive leaders such as Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. His message resonates with voters seeking bold reforms, and he is seen as a fresh alternative to more established candidates.

Endorsements from Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez provide Mamdani with heightened visibility, credibility among progressive voters, and national fundraising support, helping to accelerate his momentum and challenge the frontrunner.

The recent arrest of Brad Lander could further diminish his support and redirect undecided voters toward Cuomo or Mamdani, tightening the race between the two leading candidates. However, as Lander was polling at only 7%, the direct impact may be limited unless new developments significantly alter public perception.

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