Democrats Lead Republicans In Midterm Polls

Democrats hold an eight-point polling lead as early voting surpasses 30 million.

46% left, 26% center, 28% right

Leans Left

· 34 outlets

Summary

Updated Oct 27, 7:05pm ET

Democrats lead Republicans 52% to 44% among likely congressional voters in the PBS News/NPR/Marist poll. Speaker Mike Johnson rejected polls showing Democrats ahead, saying Republican voters answer fewer surveys; polling analysts say recent midterm polling has generally been accurate. The Nov. 3 midterms will decide whether Republicans keep narrow congressional majorities or Democrats gain power to limit President Donald Trump’s agenda. Cost-of-living anger and the Iran war are putting Republican-held seats in play. Trump urged Republicans to vote as if he were on the ballot. More than 30 million ballots are already cast. Democrats have a strong chance to win the House, while Senate control remains uncertain.

Left and right

From the left

Left-leaning outlets framed the race as a backlash against Trump, while warning that Democratic gains are not guaranteed. CNN cast the election as a chance to break Republican control in Washington, but cautioned against assuming a wave. Daily Beast focused on Trump allies’ fraud claims as an effort to prime supporters to reject losses.

From the right

Right-leaning outlets treated the polls as a warning sign, but emphasized Republican paths through turnout and Democratic vulnerabilities. Fox News highlighted MAGA enthusiasm and campaign strength, while citing Mike Johnson’s warning about leftward Democratic policies. Daily Mail lingered on Trump’s unpopularity, affordability anger and the Iran war as threats to normally safe seats.

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