Polls Forecast Major Democratic House Gains

Polls and election forecasts point to major Democratic gains and control of the House. Republicans hold a 218–214 House advantage, leaving little room for losses in midterms that often punish the president’s party. The campaign is unfolding with low approval for President Trump and voter anger over high fuel prices, tariffs and the war in Iran. Polling has limits: it overstated Democratic support in the last three presidential elections, but was closer in the past two midterms. Democrats are targeting Republican-held districts, including seats Trump carried by double digits, while calling themselves guardedly optimistic. Republicans retain Senate advantages, helped by a spending edge in competitive races.