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Astronomers Monitor Asteroid 2024 YR4 As Impact Probability Slightly Increases

Astronomers report a rising but still low 2% chance that asteroid 2024 YR4 may collide with Earth in 2032, prompting continued monitoring efforts.

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Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, now carries a 2% chance of colliding with Earth in 2032, according to NASA and ESA. The asteroid, measuring between 40 to 90 meters, is under constant observation with telescopes, including the Webb Space Telescope. Scientists assert that this slight increase in probability is not cause for alarm, and further observations will help refine risk assessments. Historically, similar predictions were made for asteroid Apophis, which ultimately posed no threat. For now, the focus is on collecting data to stabilize the asteroid's trajectory predictions and reduce uncertainty around its path.

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