2025 Projected Among Hottest Years on Record Globally
2025 is projected to be among the second or third hottest years on record, with global temperatures potentially exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
Overview
- Scientists project 2025 will rank as the second or third hottest year globally, continuing a trend of rising temperatures observed in recent years.
- This projection places 2025's average temperature at approximately 1.48 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, highlighting significant global warming.
- The anticipated temperatures for 2025 are expected to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above the 1850-1900 average, indicating a critical climate threshold.
- The year 2023 currently holds the record as the warmest year, setting a precedent for the extreme heat anticipated in 2025.
- Extreme weather events, including tropical storms and catastrophic floods, are expected in South and Southeast Asia due to these elevated global temperatures.
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FAQ
There is less than a 1% chance that 2025 will be the warmest year on record; it is more likely to be the second or third warmest year globally, with probabilities around 51% and 49% respectively.
A single year exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels does not equate to breaching the Paris Agreement, which targets long-term average warming over 20 years. However, current trends indicate the world may surpass the 1.5°C average threshold within the next five years.
Extreme weather events such as tropical storms and catastrophic floods are anticipated, particularly in South and Southeast Asia, due to elevated global temperatures.
Temperatures in 2025 are projected to be approximately equal to 2023, which currently holds the record as the warmest year globally, continuing the trend of rising temperatures.
The WMO report confirms that 2025 is set to be the second or third warmest year on record, highlighting ongoing global warming trends and emphasizing the urgent need for climate action.
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