NOAA Predicts Above-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season with Increased Storm Activity
NOAA forecasts 13-19 named storms, including 6-10 hurricanes, amid staffing concerns and climate change impacts.
Overview
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts an above-average Atlantic hurricane season, predicting 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes, with 3 to 5 major hurricanes expected. This prediction is influenced by warmer ocean temperatures and increased activity from the West African Monsoon. Experts emphasize the importance of public preparedness, especially as staffing shortages at NOAA and FEMA raise concerns about effective monitoring and response. The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, and historical data shows that even weak storms can cause significant inland flooding and fatalities.
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Analysis
- The articles maintain a neutral tone about the upcoming hurricane season and its challenges.
- They highlight predictions of increased storm activity and the need for preparedness.
- Concerns are raised about staffing shortages and the lack of FEMA's presence during forecasts.
Articles (10)
Center (6)
"…An above-average number of storms are expected during this year's Atlantic hurricane season, forecasters at the National Hurricane Center warn."
NPR·1M·"…The forecasts do not predict if or where the hurricanes will make landfall or how many of these storms will strike U.S. coastlines."
NBC News·1M·"…The current outlook predicts a 60% chance of an "above-normal" hurricane season, with between 13 to 19 named storms."
CBS News·1M·"…Everything is in place for an above average season."
Associated Press·1M·"…NOAA's pre-season forecast is still giving scientists cause for concern – and not just because of the meteorological backdrop."
BBC News·1M·"…NOAA officials said to prepare for danger now as they released a forecast that predicts a 60% chance of an above average season."
USA TODAY·1M·FAQ
The forecast for an above-average hurricane season is influenced primarily by warmer ocean temperatures and increased activity from the West African Monsoon, which enhance storm development.
Staffing shortages at NOAA and FEMA raise concerns about the agencies' capacity to effectively monitor storms and manage emergency responses, potentially impacting forecast accuracy and disaster preparedness.
There is a 60% chance that the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be above normal, a 30% chance it will be near normal, and a 10% chance it will be below normal.
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak hurricane activity typically occurring between mid-August and mid-October.
Public preparedness is emphasized because even relatively weak storms can cause significant inland flooding and fatalities, and staffing concerns may affect the timely delivery and response to forecasts and warnings.
History
- 1M6 articles