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74 articles
·11h

Global Markets React to Ceasefire Amid Iran Tensions

World shares surged following Trump's announcement of a ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict, impacting oil prices and easing concerns over the Strait of Hormuz.


Overview

A summary of the key points of this story verified across multiple sources.

  • Iran's parliament considered closing the Strait of Hormuz due to U.S. military actions, threatening 20% of global oil supply.
  • Trump's announcement of a ceasefire in the Israel-Iran war led to a rally in world shares and a drop in oil prices.
  • UK and European stock markets saw significant gains, with Germany's DAX up 2.2% and the CAC 40 rising by 1.4%.
  • Despite previous tensions, West Texas Intermediate oil prices fell to $68.51 per barrel, reflecting investor sentiment.
  • Global leaders remain watchful of the situation, with U.S. intervention likely to ensure the safety of shipping routes in the region.

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Analysis

Compare how each side frames the story — including which facts they emphasize or leave out.

Center-leaning sources frame the situation with a focus on market reactions to geopolitical events, often highlighting optimism in stock performance following announcements of ceasefires. Implicit skepticism about the stability of these agreements is evident, reflecting a cautious perspective on the interplay between politics and economic stability.

European stock markets experienced mixed results, with Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 seeing gains, while the UK's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX, and France's CAC 40 all saw losses.

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There is concern that Iran may close the Strait of Hormuz, potentially impacting access to the waterway.

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Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz could cause oil prices to temporarily rise to $120-$130 per barrel.

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Closing the Strait of Hormuz would cause a substantial increase in oil prices.

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The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global shipping lane responsible for facilitating the transit of a significant portion of global petroleum products and oil shipments.

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Closure of the strait would significantly impact China, Iran's largest trading partner and main oil customer, as well as harm Iran's economy and global oil buyers like China.

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The S&P 500 future increased by 1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average future decreased by 0.1%.

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Asian markets saw Tokyo's Nikkei 225 rise by 1.1% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng gain 2.1%.

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The 10-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.33%.

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Recent price spikes were driven by concerns over potential Iranian blockades of the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil shipping route.

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Higher oil prices have the potential to negatively impact the economy and ignite inflation concerns.

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Interruptions in oil flow through the strait would have severe market impacts on China, India, Japan, and South Korea.

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The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial oil transportation route.

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Closing the deal could have negative consequences for Iran.

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In 2024, approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day, equivalent to 20% of global oil consumption, transited through the strait.

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Europe and potentially China would likely support US intervention to reopen the strait.

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The majority of oil imported through the strait goes to Asia, particularly East Asia.

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Global markets remained calm following the U.S. strike on nuclear targets in Iran, with investors monitoring Iran's response.

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The price of oil initially rose over 2% but later fell, ending with a gain of about 1%.

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Global stock markets were mixed with U.S. stock futures fluctuating and benchmarks in Europe and Asia mostly lower.

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The outcome of the situation depends on Tehran's choice between a restrained or aggressive reaction.

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The US conducted airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites.

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China strongly condemns the U.S. attack on Iran as a serious violation of international law and the UN Charter.

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Brent and WTI have both increased in value since June 13, with Brent rising 13% and WTI gaining around 10%, while tanker earnings have surged by almost 90% since the start of airstrikes.

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Stock market futures declined with Dow futures falling 0.36% and Nasdaq 100 futures dropping 0.7%.

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Oil prices surged on Sunday night at the start of trading, but quickly retreated as speculation arose about Iran's actions regarding the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in a 4-5% increase followed by a slight decrease.

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Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz could severely impact global oil supply, as it is a vital trade route through which one-fifth of the world's daily oil flows.

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Global stock markets surged following President Trump's announcement of a ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict.

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Iran retaliated against the U.S. by launching missile attacks on a military base in Qatar following U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear program.

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U.S. attacks on three Iranian sites escalated tensions in the Israel-Iran war and raised questions about Tehran's nuclear program.

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President Trump is urging oil-producing economies to increase production in response to volatile crude prices.

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President Trump claims that US air strikes have completely destroyed Iran's nuclear program, joining the conflict between Iran and Israel and describing the damage as monumental.

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Trump urged increased production while the White House issued stern warnings to Iran about closing the Strait of Hormuz.

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Iran strongly criticized the U.S. for crossing a significant red line in their recent strikes.

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The U.S. strikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan.

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The price of Brent crude oil increased by around 3% to $79.60 per barrel.

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An Israeli attack against Iran on June 13 has caused oil prices to fluctuate and raised concerns about market stability, with America's involvement likely to further impact prices.

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Global markets are reacting with slight increases in U.S. stock futures and rising oil prices following a surprise U.S. strike on Iran, with investors showing concern about potential economic fallout.

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Iran is a significant oil producer located on the narrow Strait of Hormuz, a crucial transit channel for a large portion of the world's crude oil.

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Stock market futures for major indices, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones, experienced declines ranging from 0.39% to 0.6% in early trading.

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Iran's parliament has approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping lane for 20% of global oil and gas.

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio has urged China to prevent Iran from closing the Strait of Hormuz.

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Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials have warned Iran that closing the strait would be 'economic suicide' and have called on China to intervene.

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Articles (74)

Compare how different news outlets are covering this story.

LeftCenterRight
Rolling Stone
Vox
Vox
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PBS NewsHour
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The Guardian
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NPR
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USA TODAY
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Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
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Associated Press
BBC News
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Fox Business
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Daily Caller
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Epoch Times

"…Oil prices are set on a global market, but in Trump’s mind, the consequences of committing an act of war against a global oil-baron can be staved off with a stern Truth Social post."

Trump Demands Low Oil Prices After U.S. Attacks on Iran
Rolling StoneRolling Stone·1d·
Left
This outlet favors left-wing views.

"…Faced with higher inflation, the Federal Reserve would likely scrap plans for cutting interest rates."

3 ways Americans could pay for Trump’s war with Iran
VoxVox·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…Trump's decision to carry out strikes has radically limited both his options and the chances of de-escalation."

Iran war: Did Trump take out Iran’s nuclear facilities in US strike?
VoxVox·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…Trump urged stepped-up production as the White House sharpened its warnings to Iran against closing the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil and gas shipping lane, in retaliation for the U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program."

Trump calls for more crude drilling amid jitters that Iran may close critical shipping lane
PBS NewsHourPBS NewsHour·23h·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…A decision to retaliate against the U.S. and its regional allies would give Iran a far larger target bank and one that is much closer than Israel, allowing it to potentially use its missiles and drones to greater effect."

4 ways Tehran could retaliate after U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear program
PBS NewsHourPBS NewsHour·2d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…Oil prices dropped sharply after Iran’s retaliatory missile strike on a US airbase reduced concern that the country was poised to strain energy markets by closing off a vital trade route."

Oil prices sink after Iranian strike on US airbase reduces fears of market disruption
The GuardianThe Guardian·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…Goldman’s baseline assumption is that that physical disruptions to Iran supply and regional oil and gas production and shipping are avoided; in that scenario, Brent crude falls to $60/barrel by the end of the year."

Goldman Sachs warns Brent crude could rise over $100 per barrel if Strait of Hormuz is disrupted – business live
The GuardianThe Guardian·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…US strikes on Iran could damage global economic growth, the head of the International Monetary Fund has warned."

US strikes on Iran could damage global growth, says IMF chief
The GuardianThe Guardian·2d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran insists the US attacks won’t affect its work – and that the nuclear material had already been removed."

Is dropping bombs the answer to Iran’s nuclear programme?
Al JazeeraAl Jazeera·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…Tehran has vowed to respond, prompting fears of escalation."

Can Iran really shut down the Strait of Hormuz?
Al JazeeraAl Jazeera·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…The region and the wider world watched warily as events unfolded overnight into Tuesday, but with a degree of hope as daylight broke in the region that what US President Donald Trump called the “12 Day War” may be over."

Iranian retaliation, a sudden ceasefire, and lingering nuclear questions: Wild swings in the Middle East
CNNCNN·14h·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…In the meantime, Wall Street is acting like it went to bed Friday, slept straight through the weekend and woke up Monday morning as if nothing happened."

Wall Street is acting like America didn’t just strike Iran | Business
CNNCNN·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…The blow would be particularly severe for Asia, for whom the crude oil and gas that pass through the strait represents up to 75% of its consumption."

Why closing the Strait of Hormuz would be an atomic bomb for the oil market
El PaisEl Pais·1d·
Leans Left
This outlet slightly leans left.

"…The current oil price is still the highest since late January — but is only slightly below the overall average seen since 2023."

Oil prices show muted gains as world awaits Iranian response to U.S. strikes
NBC NewsNBC News·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The weekend strike, dubbed Operation Midnight Hammer, targeted Iranian nuclear facilities: Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan."

Reaction to U.S. strike in Iran and OKC Thunder win NBA title: Morning Rundown
NBC NewsNBC News·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The decision to close the waterway now rests with the country’s national security council, and its possibility has raised the specter of higher energy prices and aggravated geopolitical tensions, with Washington calling upon Beijing to prevent the strait’s closure."

Iran’s parliament backs blocking Strait of Hormuz. Its closure will alienate Tehran further.
NBC NewsNBC News·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Concerns centered on whether Iran would begin limiting or shutting down access to the strait."

Oil prices jump after U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities
NBC NewsNBC News·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The world has held a close eye on the Strait of Hormuz lately with Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran."

Will Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? : The Indicator from Planet Money
NPRNPR·14h·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…U.S. stock futures are slightly higher as the world waits to see if Iran retaliates after a surprise U.S. strike on Iran over the weekend."

US stock futures edge up as world awaits Iran response to US strikes
USA TODAYUSA TODAY·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Oil prices surged to their highest levels since January following joint U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities."

Oil hits five-month high after US strikes key Iranian nuclear sites
USA TODAYUSA TODAY·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Any shock to financial markets and disruption of American consumers’ expectations for the summer months comes as the overall economy is weakening quickly."

US strikes on Iran could hit American economy at a fragile time
USA TODAYUSA TODAY·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…If the Strait of Hormuz were closed, the impact would be felt across the globe, especially at the gas station."

The US bombed Iran. Now, the whole world is watching the Strait of Hormuz.
Business InsiderBusiness Insider·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The situation remains highly fluid, and much hinges on whether Tehran opts for a restrained reaction or a more aggressive course of action."

Oil flip-flops and shares are mixed after the US strikes Iranian nuclear sites
ABC NewsABC News·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Several close U.S. allies urged a return to the negotiating table following American strikes on Iran that fueled fears of a wider conflict, while noting the threat posed by Tehran’s nuclear program."

Nations react to US strikes on Iran with many calling for diplomacy
ABC NewsABC News·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Although energy experts believe a closure of the Strait is unlikely, noting the adverse economic and geopolitical impact on Iran, they underline that a disruption to the flow of oil through the passage would send energy prices soaring."

What does the widening military conflict in Iran mean for oil prices? Here's what the experts say.
CBS NewsCBS News·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The direct involvement in offensive operations—which included massive “bunker busters” dropped from stealth bombers—in what had been a conflict primarily between Israel and Iran still marked a major escalation."

Dow futures drop 150 points while oil prices jump after the U.S. bombs Iran’s nuclear sites and widens Mideast conflict
FortuneFortune·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The shipping industry was placed on high alert on Sunday with warnings that Tehran could retaliate against commercial vessels following US airstrikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities."

Shipping on high alert in Mideast after U.S. strikes on Iran
FortuneFortune·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Still, investors took heart after Trump said Israel and Iran had agreed to a “complete and total ceasefire” soon after Iran launched limited missile attacks Monday on a U.S. military base in Qatar, retaliating for the American bombing of its nuclear sites over the weekend."

World shares rally after Trump announces what appears to be a shaky Israeli-Iran ceasefire
Associated PressAssociated Press·17h·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The price of West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, fell 7.2% to $68.51 per barrel on Monday after Iran announced a missile attack on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, which the U.S. military uses."

Oil sells off as traders calmly look beyond the bombs in the Middle East
Associated PressAssociated Press·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…European nations worked to keep diplomatic efforts to curb the Israel-Iran war alive as the two countries traded strikes following the United States’ weekend attack on Iran’s nuclear program."

Europe scrambles to revive diplomacy after the US strikes Iran's nuclear sites
Associated PressAssociated Press·1d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Oil prices tumbled by nearly 5% on Tuesday after Israel agreed to a ceasefire with Iran after nearly two weeks of conflict."

Oil prices tumble as Israel agrees to ceasefire with Iran
BBC NewsBBC News·12h·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Any attempt to disrupt operations in the Strait could send global oil prices skyrocketing."

US asks China to stop Iran from closing Strait of Hormuz
BBC NewsBBC News·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…The US's military strikes on Tehran's nuclear sites have provoked alarm in capitals around the world, marking a significant escalation in tensions between the two nations."

What the US and Iran do next could be even more momentous
BBC NewsBBC News·2d·
Center
This outlet is balanced or reflects centrist views.

"…Amid the potential threats to energy supplies in the Strait of Hormuz, domestic energy production in the U.S. has helped reduce the reliance of the American economy on energy sourced from the Middle East, insulating it from prospective price shocks and potential worst-case scenarios in which surging oil prices could stifle the economy."

US oil production shields economy from Iran's Strait of Hormuz threats
Fox BusinessFox Business·11h·
Leans Right
This outlet slightly leans right.

"…In the event of some sort of unforeseen event or effects from these strikes, we will see a little bit of buffer and protection here in the United States."

Strait of Hormuz disruption: More bark than bite for US energy, expert claims
Fox BusinessFox Business·1d·
Leans Right
This outlet slightly leans right.

"…A growing number of cargo ships are said to be steering clear of the Strait of Hormuz, the vital artery for global oil and gas shipments, as tensions spike in the Middle East following US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites."

US-Iran tensions slow tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz, trade group says
New York PostNew York Post·1d·
Leans Right
This outlet slightly leans right.

"…The broader market is likely to view the Iran threat as receding after the strike."

US stocks shrug off Iran strike as oil rises, crypto surges
New York PostNew York Post·1d·
Leans Right
This outlet slightly leans right.

"…Crude oil prices in the United States dropped significantly on Monday — even after Iran retaliated against America’s attack on its nuclear facilities by launching missiles toward American military bases in Qatar and Iraq."

Crude Oil Prices Plunge Despite Iranian Strike on American Bases in Middle East
New York SunNew York Sun·1d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…The parliamentary vote follows a surprise American attack on Iran’s three main nuclear facilities — Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow — early Sunday morning."

Iran Parliament Votes To Close Strait of Hormuz, Sending Oil Futures Up in Global Markets
New York SunNew York Sun·2d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…Yet those who hate the regime (and there are plenty) wouldn’t be seen dead protesting as the bombs are landing, for fear that their protests become confused with treachery, crossing a massive red line marked 'Iranian nationalism,' which is stronger than we all imagine."

The Spectator WorldThe Spectator World·1d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…Instead of plunging America into another endless conflict, Trump may have done the opposite: broken the cycle."

Trump’s strike wasn’t an escalation — it was an exit
The BlazeThe Blaze·13h·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…The markets likely saw the limited attack as a de-escalation of tensions, as Iran signaled that it needed to save face but did not want to antagonize the U.S. any further."

Oil and stock markets have surprising reaction to Iranian attack on US bases
The BlazeThe Blaze·1d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…Despite the geopolitical shock, the modest scale of the rally suggested traders were not yet pricing in a prolonged disruption to global supply—or doubted that Iran would escalate in a way that threatens oil flows."

Oil Prices Climb in Early Trading After U.S. Strikes on Iran
Breitbart NewsBreitbart News·2d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…A closure could disrupt roughly $1 billion in oil shipments daily."

Oil Prices Could Soar After Iran Moves To Close Strait Of Hormuz
Daily CallerDaily Caller·2d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

"…Crude oil prices plummeted by more than 7 percent on June 23 as investors were optimistic that Iran’s limited retaliation could lead to a de-escalation in the Middle East."

Oil Prices Drop by 7 Percent as Market’s Iran Fear Factor Fades
Epoch TimesEpoch Times·1d·
Right
This outlet favors right-wing views.

FAQ

Dig deeper on this story with frequently asked questions.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global energy security, with about 20% to 21% of the world's oil supply, approximately 20 million barrels per day, transiting through it. It also handles roughly one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas trade, making it vital for international energy markets.

Trump's announcement of a ceasefire in the Israel-Iran conflict led to a surge in global stock markets, including major European indexes such as Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40, and caused oil prices to drop, reflecting reduced geopolitical risk and easing concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to U.S. military actions in the region, using the threat as leverage against Western pressure due to the strategic importance of the strait for global oil shipping routes.

Following the ceasefire announcement, global leaders expect the U.S. to intervene to ensure the safety and security of shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz, aiming to prevent disruption of oil flows and maintain stability in the region.

History

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