NOAA Forecasts Warmer Winter

NOAA says El Niño will likely bring a warmer, wetter U.S. winter and shift snow south.

Left & Center

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Updated Oct 15, 5:00pm ET

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What happened

NOAA forecast a warmer winter for much of the U.S. northern tier, with a very strong El Niño expected to shape weather from December through February. Its outlook favors wetter-than-average conditions across much of the southern U.S., from California and the Southwest to the Gulf states and East Coast, while much of the South is expected to have near-normal temperatures. El Niño warms parts of the tropical Pacific, often pushing the jet stream south and east. National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said rain on dry ground can cause flash floods and mudslides. NOAA’s outlook does not predict snowfall amounts. Strong El Niño winters still vary.

How each side covered it

From the left

Left-leaning outlets framed the outlook as a milder, wetter winter shaped by El Niño, while stressing storms could still hit hard. CNN cited NOAA forecasters saying the season may be wetter without being less snowy, then emphasized heavy rain and mountain snow risks. The Guardian lingered on NOAA’s warning that northern snow lovers may be disappointed.

From the right

Right-leaning outlets led with El Niño as the main driver, treating the forecast as a shift in storm tracks rather than a snow promise. Newsmax, quoting the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, cast the outlook as helpful for Western drought relief but disappointing for Northern snow lovers. NOAA said El Niño’s temporary warming comes on top of a longer-term warming of American winters driven predominantly by human-caused climate change.

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