


Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 Crash Investigated as Possible Russian Missile Strike
Preliminary findings of the crash investigation suggest Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 may have been downed by Russian air defense systems, killing 38.
Overview
Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432, which crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on December 25, 2024, is believed to have been downed by Russian air defense systems, resulting in 38 fatalities. Preliminary investigations indicate the aircraft was struck by a missile while seeking an emergency landing due to fog. Azerbaijan declared a national day of mourning as conflicting reports emerged regarding the crash's cause, prompting calls for an inquiry from NATO. The Kremlin urges caution against speculation, while aviation experts emphasize the need for thorough investigations into the circumstances surrounding the incident.
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Analysis
- Azerbaijan officials assert that Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 was likely downed by Russian air defenses, aligning with growing evidence and expert analysis.
- The aircraft was reportedly struck by a Pantsir-S missile from a Russian battery after electronic warfare systems disabled its communications during approach, indicating negligence by Russian authorities toward civilian aircraft in the area.
- Azerbaijan has expressed outrage, with lawmakers calling for accountability and a formal apology from Russia, emphasizing a potential violation of international norms regarding air safety.
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- Aviation experts are largely in agreement that the crash of Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 was caused by Russian air defense fire, with high probability attached to a surface-to-air missile strike.
- The aircraft's change of course was cited as necessary due to worsening weather conditions, though unverified claims suggest it may have faced threats from both bird strikes and enemy drones near Grozny.
- Government officials in Azerbaijan, while mourning the tragedy, are cautious in their accusations against Russia, highlighting the need for a thorough investigation before jumping to conclusions about the cause.
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